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Mathematics Outlook Forum---Statistics Series Report

2020-11-27  kaiyun開云官方網(wǎng)站 Hits:[]

Speaker: Li Yaguang, Postdoctoral Fellow, University of Toronto

Reporting time: 9:00-9:30 am on December 5th

Report location: Tencent Conference ID 504 790 537

Title:A modelbased multithreshold method for subgroup identification

Summary:Thresholding variable plays a crucial role in subgroup identification for personalized medicine. Most existing partitioning methods split the sample based on one predictor variable. In this paper, we consider setting the splitting rule from a combination of multivariate predictors, such as the latent factors, principle components, and weighted sum of predictors. Such a subgrouping method may lead to more meaningful partitioning of the population than using a single variable. In addition, our method is based on a change point regression model and thus yields straight forward modelbased prediction results. After choosing a particular thresholding variable form, we apply a twostage multiple change point detection method to determine the subgroups and estimate the regression parameters. We show that our approach can produce two or more subgroups from the multiple change points and identify the true grouping with high probability. In addition, our estimation results enjoy oracle properties. We design a simulation study to compare performances of our proposed and existing methods and apply them to analyze data sets from a Scleroderma trial and a breast cancer study.


Speaker: Zhang Jia, Postdoctoral fellow, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics

Reporting time: 9:30-10:00 am on December 5th

Report location: Tencent Conference ID 504 790 537

Title:High Dimensional Elliptical Sliced Inverse Regression in non-Gaussian Distributions

Summary:Sliced inverse regression (SIR) is the most widely-used sufficient dimension reduction method due to its simplicity, generality and computational efficiency. However, when the distribution of the covariates deviates from the multivariate normal distribution, the estimation efficiency of SIR gets rather low, and the SIR estimator may be inconsistent and misleading, especially in high-dimensional setting. In this paper, we propose a robust alternative to SIR - called elliptical sliced inverse regression (ESIR) for analyzing high-dimensional, elliptically distributed data. There are wide applications of the elliptically distributed data, especially in finance and economics where the distribution of the data is often heavy-tailed. To tackle the heavy-tailed elliptically distributed covariates, we novelly utilize the multivariate Kendall's tau matrix in a framework of generalized eigenvalue problem in sufficient dimension reduction. Methodologically, we present a practical algorithm for our method. Theoretically, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the ESIR estimator under high-dimensional setting. Simulation results show that ESIR significantly improves the estimation efficiency in heavy-tailed scenarios. Analysis of the Istanbul stock exchange data set also demonstrates the effectiveness of our proposed method. Moreover, ESIR can be easily extended to other sufficient dimension reduction methods and applied to non-elliptical heavy-tailed distributions.



Speaker: Wang Yang Shanghai Jiao Tong University Postdoc

Reporting time: 10:00-10:30 am, December 5th

Report location: Tencent Conference ID 504 790 537

Title:A Kernel Regression Model for Panel Count Data with Nonparametric Covariate Functions

Summary:Local kernel pseudo-partial likelihood is used for estimation in panel count model with nonparametric covariate functions. Estimator of the derivative of nonparametric covariate function is derived first and nonparametric function estimator is then obtained by integrating the derivative function. Under some regularity conditions, uniform consistency rates and pointwise asymptotic normality are obtained for the local derivative estimator. Moreover, the baseline function estimator is shown to be uniformly consistent. The demonstration of the asymptotic results relies strongly on the modern empirical theory, which not require the Poisson assumption. Simulation studies also show that the local derivative estimator performs well in finite-sample regardless of whether or not the Poisson assumption holds. We also apply the proposed methodology to analyze a clinical study on childhood wheezing.




Speaker: Zhang Shuxiong, PhD, Beijing Normal University

Reporting time: 10:30-11:00 am on December 5th

Report location: Tencent Conference ID 504 790 537

Title:On large deviation probabilities for empirical distribution of the branching random walk with heavy tails

Summary:


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